- Held by: Elizabeth Miller (Liberal)
- Since: 2010
- Swing at 2010 election: 7.1 per cent to Liberal
- Redistribution details: Bentleigh gained Hampton East and parts of Brighton East and lost parts of Bentleigh East in last year’s changes to electoral boundaries, increasing the Liberal margin slightly to an estimated 0.9 per cent.
- Size of electorate: 21.4 sq kms
KEY COMMENTS: Bentleigh is mostly a bellwether seat taken by the party that wins the election. Liberal MP Elizabeth Miller’s victory in the seat in 2010 confirmed the fall of the Brumby government. Miller was in the news recently after comments seen to be at odds with her party on development in residential zones. She is expected to struggle against a predicted statewide swing to Labor and strong ALP candidate.
The south eastern electorate of Bentleigh has mostly been a bellwether seat, falling to the winning party except when held by the ALP in opposition in 1979 and the Liberals in 1999.
It proved true to its bellwether status – a term taken from the practice of placing a bell on a castrated ram to lead the flock – when its loss by the ALP at the 2010 state election confirmed the Coalition had toppled the Brumby government.
Now, with polls suggesting a statewide swing against the Coalition, the 21.4 square kilometre electorate named for a controversial former Premier Thomas Bent, is a key seat.