- Held by: Geoff Shaw, elected as a Liberal but sitting as an independent since March 2013
- Since: 2010
- Swing at 2010 election: +5.3 per cent to Liberal
- Redistribution details: The Seat of Frankston has changed to include North Frankston and a portion of Seaford. Assuming this will be a two way competition between Labor and the Liberals, the changes have made the seat an ultra-marginal with a pro-Liberal buffer of just 0.4%
- Size of electorate: 39.1 sq kms
KEY COMMENTS: This is the seat with everything; a maverick Liberal, turned rogue independent, in the form of Geoff Shaw, a parade of interesting candidates, a redistribution that makes the seat ultra-marginal (and a likely pickup for Labor) and all the bread and butter issues of employment, health, education and transport being debated under the glare of media attention.
The fight for Frankston
Frankston is one of the most marginal seats in the state election. Perhaps best known as the electorate of maverick MP Geoff Shaw, it is also the gateway to the Mornington Peninsula and sits at the end of the Peninsula link, by the bay, distant from Melbourne city where the debates around the East West link seem irrelevant. Given Frankston’s history of following the shifting tectonic plates of Victorian politics, the lack of a sitting member from either of the two major parties and a plethora of local issues such as public transport, education, crime and improving local facilities to campaign on, it looks set to send a jolt up the spine of Spring St.
Gabriela Gonzalez-Forward and David Ross from RMIT University take us on a tour of this electorate to watch on election night.